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Bychenkov, V. .
    Methodology for Determining Long-Term State Development Scenarios [Електронний ресурс] / V. Bychenkov, O. Levchuk, Yu. Kirpichnikov, M. Holoborodko, O. Golovchenko, O. Tyshchenko // 2021 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Advanced Trends in Information Theory (ATIT) : 15-16 December 2021. - Kyiv, 2021. - P. 132-137. - [Вказана інша організація]
   Перевод заглавия: Методики визначення довгострокових сценаріїв розвитку держави

УДК

351.865

РУБ DOI: 10.1109/ATIT54053.2021.9678678

Аннотация: The method of scenario forecasting of state development in the long term has been improved. The improved method solves the following tasks: determining the degree of influence of states on the development of events in the region; forming a reference scenario, which allows to obtain information about the deformation over time of the ability of states to influence events in the region; accounting for the influence of important areas of state functioning to assess the weak predicted important factors; defining a configuration of the domain of acceptable scenarios that allows some combination of scenarios that are not explicitly proposed by experts to be considered.

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